Buttigieg Leads Early 2028 Democratic Primary Poll in New Hampshire

20 February 2026 Politics

MANCHESTER, N.H. — As the 2028 presidential race begins to take shape, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has emerged as the early front-runner among Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, according to a new poll released this week. The University of New Hampshire Survey Center found Buttigieg leading with 20% support, ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, who are tied at 15% each.

New Hampshire has long held a pivotal role in the presidential nomination process, traditionally hosting the first primary in the nation’s election cycle. The state’s early voting results often set the tone for candidates’ momentum, making this poll an important early indicator of the 2028 race dynamics.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee in 2024, and Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona each garnered 10% support, while other potential contenders remained in single digits. The poll was released just hours before Buttigieg arrived in New Hampshire to campaign alongside Democrats preparing for the 2026 midterm elections.

Buttigieg, who previously served as the Secretary of Transportation under the Biden administration, has been actively engaging with voters and party members across the state. Speaking to Fox News Digital, he expressed optimism about the reception he has received, emphasizing his commitment to supporting fellow Democrats in the upcoming midterms.

“It feels good to be well received,” Buttigieg said, highlighting the importance of grassroots engagement in New Hampshire’s politically active electorate.

California Governor Gavin Newsom, who has gained national attention for his progressive policies and leadership during crises in his state, remains a formidable contender. His 15% support in the Granite State reflects his growing influence within the party.

Similarly, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, known for her advocacy on climate change and social justice, has solidified a strong base of support among younger and more progressive voters.

New Hampshire’s political landscape is shaped by its engaged and independent-minded voters, who often prioritize retail politics and direct candidate interaction. The early polling results underscore the competitive nature of the Democratic field as the 2028 election cycle approaches.

For candidates like Buttigieg, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez, performing well in New Hampshire is critical to building momentum for the primaries that follow in other states. The state’s primary has historically been a bellwether for candidate viability, with winners often gaining significant media attention and fundraising boosts.

The University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which conducted the poll, is a respected institution known for its rigorous methodology and accurate reflection of voter sentiment in the state. Their findings provide a snapshot of the evolving preferences among Democratic voters as they consider their options for the next presidential election.

As the 2026 midterm elections approach, Buttigieg’s campaign efforts in New Hampshire also aim to strengthen the party’s position in the state legislature and congressional races. His dual focus on both the immediate electoral contests and the long-term presidential campaign reflects a strategic approach to maintaining and expanding Democratic influence.

New Hampshire’s role in the presidential nominating process is codified by state law and party rules, and its early primary date ensures that candidates must invest significant time and resources in the state. The New Hampshire Secretary of State’s office oversees the administration of elections, ensuring transparency and adherence to democratic principles.

As the 2028 race unfolds, voters and political observers will be closely watching how these early preferences translate into actual votes. The New Hampshire Secretary of State provides detailed information on election procedures and voter registration, which is crucial for understanding the mechanics behind the primary.

Meanwhile, the Democratic National Committee’s guidelines for the 2028 nominating process will shape how candidates campaign across the country, including in New Hampshire. The Democratic National Committee maintains resources and updates on party rules and primary schedules.

For those interested in the broader context of the presidential race, the Federal Election Commission offers comprehensive data on campaign finance and candidate filings, providing transparency into the financial aspects of the campaigns.

As the political landscape continues to evolve, early polling like this serves as a valuable barometer for candidate viability and voter enthusiasm. Buttigieg’s lead in New Hampshire marks him as a candidate to watch as the Democratic primary season gains momentum.

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Written By
Alison Grant writes about jobs, inflation, corporate power and household finances. She focuses on how economic trends show up in paychecks, bills and everyday decisions for workers, families and small business owners.
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